We use the Itô Decomposition Formula (see Alòs (2012)) to express certain conditional expectations as exponentials of iterated integrals. As one application, we compute an exact formal expression for the leverage swap for any stochastic volatility model expressed in forward variance form. As...

From an analysis of the time series of volatility using recent high frequency data, Gatheral, Jaisson and Rosenbaum previously showed that log-volatility behaves essentially as a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent H of order 0.1, at any reasonable time scale. The resulting Rough...

This paper introduces a general class of combined neural network-GARCH models suitable to financial time series analysis. We put special emphasis on designing a full model-building cycle for this class of models that includes all stages of econometric modelling (specification, estimation and...

I examine the relative information roles among West Texas Intermediate spot crude price and four futures contracts (F1 through F4) with different maturities. Using a cointegrated system with a non-unitary cointegrating vector, I address price discovery by investigating which price is more...

Range-based volatility estimators are analyzed in both daily and intraday sampling frequency and are also compared to the realized volatility estimator. The family of realized range-based estimators is extended as three range-based estimators are introduced. These three realized Parkinson...

Using high-frequency intraday data, we construct, test and model seven new realized volatility estimators for six international equity indices. We detect jumps in these estimators, construct the jump components of volatility and perform various tests on their properties. Then we use the class of...

We propose a new methodology for obtaining arbitrage free European option prices from a SABR-like parameterisation. The method consists of specifying the joint distribution of the volatility and underlying at a given expiry and requires the calculation of a simple one-dimensional numerical...

We develop an empirically highly accurate discrete-time daily stochastic volatility model that explicitly distinguishes between the jump and continuous time components of price movements using nonparametric realized variation and Bipower variation measures constructed from high-frequency...

In this paper, we present advanced analytical formulas for SABR model option pricing. The first technical result consists of a new exact formula for the zero correlation case. This closed form is a simple 2D integration of elementary functions, particularly attractive for numerical...

Stochastic volatility models are widely used in interest rate modeling to match the option smiles -- the two most popular are the Heston model and the SABR one. These have been incorporated into arbitrage-free term structure frameworks, Heston-LMM and SABR-LMM respectively.In this paper we...