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We perform a large simulation study to examine the extent to which various generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models capture extreme events in stock market returns. We estimate Hill's tail indexes for individual S&P 500 stock market returns ranging from 1995-2014...
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Over the last three decades, the world economy has been facing stock market crashes, currency crisis, the dot-com and real estate bubble burst, credit crunch and banking panics. As a response, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a set of ready-made approaches to risk management analysis....
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We discuss efficiency of the quadratic bridge volatility estimator in comparison with Parkinson, Garman-Klass and Roger-Satchell estimators. It is shown in particular that point and interval estimations of volatility, resting on bridge estimator, are considerably more efficient than analogous...
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significant transient dependence between returns and (ii) the presence of large outliers (dragon-kings) characterizing the extreme …
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