This paper proposes a multivariate fuzzy logic approach to boosting the profitability of technical analysis for currency trading. The approach incorporates information on underlying market volatility in addition to order-flow-based exchange-rate return forecasts. We show the superiority of our...

This paper examines the effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on stock-bond correlations for the US market. We devise a general framework which distinguishes a positive shock from a negative one and nests either as its special case. The results show that innovations in the policy...

This paper investigates the impact of innovations in US economic policy uncertainty on the co-movements of, respectively, the Shanghai A-share, the Shenzhen A-share, the Shanghai B-share and the Shenzhen B-share market, with the US stock market. We show that it is absolute changes in the US...

The contemporaneous call options volume have a significant strong positive feedback effect on the implied volatility, but the contemporaneous feedback effect of volume on the TARCH volatility is insignificant. The contemporaneous feedback effects from the implied volatility and the TARCH...