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"We investigate whether bonds span the volatility risk in the U.S. Treasury market, as predicted by most 'affine' term … markets per se are incomplete and yield volatility risk cannot be hedged by taking positions solely in the Treasury bond …
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form expectations using the misspecified model. Next, I exploit the connection between robust control and uncertainty …
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Agents who acknowledge that their models are incorrectly specified are said to be ambiguity averse, and this affects the prices they are willing to trade at. Models for prices of commodities attempt to capture three stylized features: seasonal trend, moderate deviations (a diffusive factor), and...
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We focus on two particular aspects of model risk: the inability of a chosen model to fit observed market prices at a … given point in time (calibration error) and the model risk due to the recalibration of model parameters (in contradiction to … model risk in a common framework, and consider the trade-offs between them when choosing a model and the frequency with …
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