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noise is considered. A general stochastic volatility framework with jumps for the underlying asset dynamics is defined … parameter and average jumps size reveals that the characteristics of the dataset are crucial to determine which is the proper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506497
We develop a new method that detects jumps nonparametrically in financial time series and significantly outperforms the … generated by a process that experiences both jumps and volatility bursts. As a result, the network learns how to disentangle the …: we obtain fewer spurious detection and identify a larger number of true jumps. When applied to real data, our approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181300
Two of the fastest growing frontiers in econometrics and quantitative finance are time series and financial econometrics. Significant theoretical contributions to financial econometrics have been made by experts in statistics, econometrics, mathematics, and time series analysis. The purpose of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484894
In this paper, we analyzed a dataset of over 2000 crypto-assets to assess their credit risk by computing their probability of death using the daily range. Unlike conventional low-frequency volatility models that only utilize close-to-close prices, the daily range incorporates all the information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350946
In this paper, we assess the Value at Risk (VaR) prediction accuracy and efficiency of six ARCH-type models, six realized volatility models and two GARCH models augmented with realized volatility regressors. The α-th quantile of the innovation's distribution is estimated with the fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126884
realized bipower variation, which are immune against microstructure noise bias and price jumps respectively, generate superior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113342
trader identifiers at a tick transaction level. Jumps are frequent events and they cluster in time. The order flow imbalance … and the preponderance of aggressive traders, as well as a widening of the bid-ask spread predict them. Jumps have short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762219
to overestimate the number of jumps in yield spreads and puts the coherence of test results at risk. We formalize the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097
We derive a nonparametric test for constant (continuous) beta over a fixed interval of time. Continuous beta is defined as the ratio of the continuous covariation between an asset and observable risk factor (e.g., the market return) and the continuous variation of the latter. Our test is based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253467
We test whether a simple measure of corporate insolvency based on equity return volatility - and denoted as Distance to Insolvency (DI) - delivers better predictions of corporate default than the widely-used Expected Default Frequency (EDF) measure computed by Moody's. We look at the predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448706