La volatilité des actions françaises montre une forte instabilité depuis 150 ans. Très faible avant la Première Guerre mondiale, elle augmente de façon continue durant l'entre-deux-guerres. Malgré la paix et la stabilité économique, la volatilité n'a jamais retrouvé ses niveaux...

Information on the performance of equities during the latter part of the globalized long nineteenth century is scarce, particularly for smaller European economies such as Ireland. Using a dataset of over 35,000 price-year observations from the Investor's Monthly Manual, this paper constructs new...

Terrorism is a major issue in the 21st century. In this paper we examine the effect of terrorism on the stock market. We go beyond previous studies to explore the spectre of terrorism on the market rather than terrorist activities. Using a narrative-based approach à la Shiller (2019), we find...

We exploit a unique dataset of country-specific military expenditures and construct a proxy for international instability, measured as the growth of the global military expenditure to GDP ratio, to capture political tensions and international conflicts. Using the market indices of 44 countries,...

This paper studies the role of generalized disappointment aversion (GDA) in reconciling several asset-pricing puzzles in models of long-run risks. To fully capture the nonlinearities introduced by these preferences, we solve the model globally with projection. This allows us to scrutinize the...

We study the effects of the investment horizon on asset price volatility using a Learning to Forecast experiment. We end that, for short investment horizons, participants coordinate on self-fulfilling trend extrapolating predictions. Price deviations are then reinforced and amplified, possibly...

This study examines the accounting information uncertainty effects on corporate credit risk from the perspective of real earnings management (RM) activities by investigating 9,565 American bond observations from year 2001 to 2008. The main results show that the volatilities of RM activities...

High idiosyncratic volatility (IV) stocks follow predictable return pattern after exhibiting large ex ante returns: a period of underreaction and low returns is superseded by persistent high returns. This pattern is robust and economically significant: it may be interpreted as informationally...

We test the interaction between COVID-19 governments' interventions, COVID-19- induced uncertainty, and the volatility of sovereign bonds. Using a panel-quantile approach and a comprehensive dataset of 31 countries worldwide, we document that containment and closure policies tend to amplify...

The role of public sentiment in stock market volatility has recently become increasingly relevant. Twitter, in theory, offers an inexpensive way to measure real-time public sentiment. We take advantage of a natural experiment to assess the potential improvement that social media adds to forecast...