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, in the U.S. and Germany, in the period 1990-2024. Specifically, we focus on the lowest 5% quantile of stock returns and …
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Using sovereign debt data from 47 countries, we document that the third moment (skewness) of unemployment changes has a positive and significant relation with sovereign bond returns. Thus, while investors require risk premia for exposure to macroeconomic shocks (Campbell, 1996), we find that the...
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We introduce a Nelson-Siegel type interest rate term structure model with the underlying yield factors following … structure and are associated with the time-varying uncertainty of the yield curve's level, slope and curvature. Estimating the … model based on U.S. government bond yields applying Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques we find that the yield factors and …
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This paper analyses the effects of newspaper coverage of macro news on the spread between the yield on the 10-year … yield spreads in all PIIGS countries but Italy before September 2008; markets respond more to negative news, and their … reaction has increased during the recent financial crisis. News volatility has a significant impact on yield spread volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417491
This paper analyses the effects of newspaper coverage of macro news on the spread between the yield on the 10-year … yield spreads in all PIIGS countries but Italy before September 2008; markets respond more to negative news, and their … reaction has increased during the recent financial crisis. News volatility has a significant impact on yield spread volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417494