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The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices in Russia during the period of 2000–2012 using vector error correction model. Exchange rate pass-through asymmetry estimates, its assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398366
Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843500
Exchange rate exposure of firms diminishes when imported intermediates and exports are denominated in currencies that move together. Appreciations of the domestic currency, raising foreign currency export prices, then also reduce marginal costs, allowing firms to counter the increase in foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568538
This paper estimates exchange rate pass-through of six major industrial countries using a time-varying parameter with stochastic volatility model. Exchange rate pass-through is divided into impacts of exchange rate fluctuations to import prices (first-stage pass-through) and those of import...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012711746
We find evidences of significant volatility co-movements and/ or spillover from different financial markets to forex market for Indian economy. Among a large number of variables examined, volatility spillovers from stock market, government securities market, overnight index swap, Ted spread and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009576033
In this paper we replace the Gaussian errors in the standard Gaussian, linear state space model with stochastic volatility processes. This is called a GSSF-SV model. We show that conventional MCMC algorithms for this type of model are ineffective, but that this problem can be removed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334849
Many developing countries including Tanzania have often resorted to intervene in the foreign exchange market to contain the effect of temporary exchange rate shocks on inflation and financial stability. Highly variable exchange rates increase exchange rate risk and are likely to impede long term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152974
In this paper I explore the informational content in cross-currency flow maintained by large custodian banks with an objective to design a statistical arbitrage trading system that could exploit such information. After an initial simple test involving one-step ahead forecasts for JPYUSD FX pair...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157904
We analyse the impact of volatility per se on real exports for a small open economy concentrating on Irish trade with the UK and the US. An important element is that we take account of the time lag between the trade decision and the actual trade or payments taking place by using a flexible lag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729842
This paper introduces the Inverse Gamma (IGa) stochastic volatility model with time-dependent parameters, defined by the volatility dynamics dVt = κt.(θt − Vt).dt λt.Vt.dBt. This non-affine model is much more realistic than classical affine models like the Heston stochastic volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004351