This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate these dynamics, we use the relative tail dependence...

Mit Hilfe von generalisierten Varianzdekompositionen aus Vektorautoregressionen untersuchen wir länder- und kategorieübergreifende Unsicherheits-Spillover-Effekte zwischen den USA und Japan. Dabei betrachten wir sowohl wirtschaftspolitische Unsicherheit (WPU) als auch Finanzmarktvolatilität....

Using a drifting spillover index approach (Diebold and Yilmaz, 2012) and a continuous time-frequency tool (Torrence and Webster, 1999), this paper attempts to empirically investigate the spillovers and co-movements among commodity and stock prices of major oil-producing and consuming countries....

Theory as well as empirics suggest that both the level and the volatility of uncertainty impact important economic variables. There is a need to extend models of uncertainty to the volatility of uncertainty. We analyse the dynamics of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index developed by (Baker et...

This paper proposes an empirical model which can be used to estimate the impact of changes in the volatility of shocks to US real activity on the UK economy. The proposed empirical model is a structural VAR where the volatility of structural shocks is time varying and is allowed to affect the...

This paper investigates empirically the relationship between inflation, inflation volatility and output growth in the case of México using monthly data over the period 1993-2011. Specifically a bivariate GARCH-M model is estimated to test the hypotheses that inflation rates are directly related...

This paper investigates empirically the relationship between inflation, inflation volatility and output growth in the case of México using monthly data over the period 1993-2011. Specifically a bivariate GARCH-M model is estimated to test the hypotheses that inflation rates are directly related...

In this paper we analyze European business cycles before and under EMU. Across the two periods we find 1) a significant decline in real exchange rate volatility, 2) significant changes in cross-country correlations, and 3) the volatility of macroeconomic fundamentals largely unchanged. We...

This paper analyzes the evolution of volatility and cross-country comovement in output, consumption, and investment fluctuations using two distinct datasets. The results suggest that there has been a significant decline in the volatility of business cycle fluctuations and a slight increase in...

I analyze output growth, volatility, and skewness as the joint outcomes of financial openness. Using an industry panel of 53 countries over 45 years, I find that financial openness increases simultaneously mean growth and the negative skewness of the growth process. The increase in output...