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The financial crisis of 2007-2008 had major implications for the foreign exchange market. We review events and implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This blow-by-blowʺ narrative is intended to be a resource for researchers seeking a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861767
We present evidence that the growth of U.S.-dollar-denominated banking sector liabilities forecasts appreciations of the U.S. dollar, both in-sample and out-of-sample, against a large set of foreign currencies. We provide a theoretical foundation for a funding liquidity channel in a global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399316
We propose a Monte-Carlo calibration method for multi-currency Hybrid Local Volatility models a la Dupire. The algorithm follows a systematic approach to the evaluation of the bias due to the stochasticity of the interest rates and is applicable to all Markovian interest rate models. We explain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103617
We examine how medium-term movements in real exchange rates and GDP vary with international financial conditions. For this purpose, we study the international transmission of productivity shocks across a variety of IRBC models that incorporate different assumptions about the persistence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839806
This paper documents a new stylised fact in foreign exchange markets: intraday currency returns display prolonged reversals around the major benchmark fixings, characterised by an appreciation of the U.S. dollar pre-fixing and a depreciation thereafter. Tracing returns around the clock, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843762
We suggest a pseudo economic openness that has a linear relationship with the real exchange rate volatility. The pseudo economic openness implies that the real exchange rate volatility is a concave function of pure economic openness. Therefore, the pseudo economic openness should be used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008633
We find a robust negative effect of exchange rate volatility on S&P500 company returns. The Consumer Discretionary and the Consumer Staple sectors have more significant negative exposure to exchange rate volatility than the other sectors thus supporting the hypothesis that exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049029
I estimate the transmission of large global volatility shocks in international equity markets from the earlier (pre-1914) to the modern era of globalisation. To that end, I identify 43 such shocks over the period 1885-2011, defined as significant increases in unanticipated volatility in US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035639
Exchange rate is one of the macroeconomic indicators that gives concern to policy makers and investors as its movements are mostly unpredictable and tend to affect both trade and capital flows. Hence, this study analyzes exchange rate volatility clustering among selected WAMZ countries for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295359
One of the most important and recurrent concept in international macroeconomics is Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis. PPP has been used as a theory of domestic price determination under fixed exchange rate regime and a theory of exchange rate determination under flexible exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215553