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The paper provides probability estimates of the state of the GDP growth. A regime-switching model defines the … probability of the Greek GDP being in boom or recession. Then probit models extract the predictive information of a set of … explanatory (economic and financial) variables regarding the state of the GDP growth. A contemporaneous, as well as a lagged …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312197
This paper shows that the explanation of the decline in the volatility of GDP growth since the mid-eighties is not the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316599
investigates whether high-frequency data can also improve the nowcasting performances for world GDP growth on quarterly or annual … representing 68% of world GDP. Our approach builds on a Factor-Augmented MIxed DAta Sampling (FA-MIDAS) which allows us to take … outperform them during “crisis” episodes (2008-2009 and 2020). We finally construct a nowcasting model of annual world GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014090107
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This paper provides empirical evidence regarding the causal links between macroeconomic uncertainty and output growth using Greek data. Uncertainty is considered in distinct components, namely the inflation uncertainty and the output growth uncertainty. The results reveal significant negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092195
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of both the conditional mean and variance of UK real GDP over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010367157
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