Showing 1 - 10 of 1,189
Prior research finds evidence suggesting a long-term trend of declining accruals quality in the U.S. Using the Dechow and Dichev (2002) accruals quality measure, we provide new evidence that this decline began to reverse around 2000, with accruals quality generally improving through 2016. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846668
This paper examines the relation between firm-level implied volatility skew and the likelihood of extreme negative events, or crash risk. I show that volatility skew identifies which firms are likely to experience crashes, but only in short-window earnings announcement periods. The predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131489
We examine the association between accounting quality, which is used as a proxy for firm information risk, and the behavior of the term structure of implied option volatility around earnings announcements. By employing a large sample of US firms having options traded on their equity during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901936
We test the proposition in Johnstone (2016) that new information may lead to higher, rather than lower, uncertainty about firms' future payoffs. Based on the Bayesian rule, we hypothesize earnings news that is inconsistent with investors' prior belief will lead to higher market uncertainty....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902474
We examine whether there is intra-industry information transfer with respect to the second moment of returns around earnings announcements. Using implied volatility from option prices to proxy for uncertainty about firm fundamentals, we find a significantly positive association between changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899383
The paper explains why firms with high dispersion of analyst forecasts earn low future returns. These firms beat the CAPM in periods of increasing aggregate volatility and thereby provide a hedge against aggregate volatility risk. The aggregate volatility risk factor can explain the abnormal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039417
We provide evidence that an option implied volatility-based measure predicts future absolute excess returns of the underlying stock around earnings announcements and annual meetings of shareholders, even after controlling for the realized stock return volatility shortly before these information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046741
We examine the impact of accounting quality, used as a proxy for information risk, on the behavior of equity implied volatility around quarterly earnings announcements. Using US data during 1996-2010, we observe that lower (higher) accounting quality significantly relates to higher (lower)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032188
This paper examines whether financial statement information can predict future realized volatility incremental to the volatility implied by option market prices. Prior research establishes that option-implied volatility is a biased estimator of future realized volatility. I use an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037345
Survey evidence suggests that managers choosing to provide earnings guidance do so in order to, among other things, dampen share price volatility. Yet, consultants and influential institutions strongly urge managers to cease guidance — citing a lack of evidence that guidance curbs volatility....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061072