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March 2020 packed 2 ½ years of normal U.S. stock market volatility into one month, making it the most volatile month on record. Daily variability clocked in at 6%, six times higher than the average over the past 90 years. How should an investor respond to such volatility? In this article we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832242
Volatility is widely considered to be a category of technical indicators with a simple interpretation - no matter how it is measured volatility is widely believed to rise in a market downturn. This approach is applied to indicators such as the Average True Range (ATR), Bollinger Bands®...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026428
Ever since Harry Markowitz published his seminal paper on portfolio selection, investors have incorporated estimates of future volatilities and correlations into their asset allocation process. While portfolio construction methods continue to evolve, many investors continue to forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086014
The article presents a quantitative strategy in which comparison of short-term asset price movement with corresponding middle-term asset volatility is used for determination of the size of opening position when buy signal is obtained from trend following model. The strategy is named as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913510
An enhanced option pricing framework that makes use of both continuous and discontinuous time paths based on a geometric Brownian motion and Poisson-driven jump processes respectively is performed in order to better fit with real-observed stock price paths while maintaining the analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118115
We investigate the effect of including variance derivatives as calibration and hedging instruments for pricing and hedging exotic structures. This is studied empirically using market data for SPX and VIX derivatives applied in a stochastic volatility jump diffusion model
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113731
The asset allocation decision often relies upon correlation estimates arising from short-run data. Short-run correlation estimates may, however, be distorted by frictions. In this paper, we introduce a long-run wavelet-based correlation estimator, distinguishing between long-run common behavior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917953
In this paper, we study the statistical properties of the moneyness scaling transformation by Leung and Sircar (2015). This transformation adjusts the moneyness coordinate of the implied volatility smile in an attempt to remove the discrepancy between the IV smiles for levered and unlevered ETF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437891
From an empirical perspective, the stochasticity of volatility is manifest, yet there have been relatively few attempts to reconcile this fact with Merton's theory of optimal portfolio selection for wealth maximising agents. In this paper we present a systematic analysis of optimal asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022675