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This paper examines whether the proliferation of new index products, such as commodity-tracking exchange-traded funds (ETFs), amplified the volatility transmission channel introduced by financialization. This paper focuses on the volatility spillover effects among crude oil, metals, agriculture,...
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GARCH-jump models of metal price returns, while allowing for sudden movements (jumps), apply the same specification of the jump component in both ‘bear' and ‘bull' markets. As a result, the more frequent but relatively small jumps that occur in both bear and bull markets dominate the...
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This paper studies the common jump dynamics in natural gas futures and spot markets within a bivariate autoregressive jump intensity-GARCH framework (BARJI-GARCH). We particularly examine the role of weather as a short-run demand factor and inventory as a short-run supply factor in explaining...
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This paper studies conditional correlated jump dynamics in foreign exchange returns using a new bivariate jump model with autoregressive jump intensities. Using daily data of German Mark against British Pound and Japanese Yen against the U.S. dollar, we find currency return correlations are...
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