Showing 1 - 10 of 9,345
In this paper we study 2-state Markov switching VAR models of monthly unemployment and inflation for three countries …: Sweden, United Kingdom, and the United States. The primary purpose is to examine if periods of low inflation are associated … variance in unemployment. In the U.S. case we find that the variance of unemployment is lower in the low inflation regime than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584800
bankers to explain their monetary policy decisions in detail and for them to publish inflation forecasts. This leads to the … question of how central bank transparency is entangled with price stability and inflation volatility. A plethora of studies … transparency leads to lower inflation, others concluded that openness of central banks results in higher prices. Conversely, there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011525911
This paper builds up a simple New Keynesian model and revisits the relationship between unemployment and in ation in the long-run. It finds that when the labor market is affected by downward nominal wage rigidity, this relationship goes beyond the tradeoff between the first moments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429726
inflation volatility.Also, causality tests results indicate that changes in the exchangerate, output gap volatility, and output … gap will have permanent andtemporary causal effects on inflation volatility. The policymakersshould carefully consider … these results to implement appropriatepolicies to reduce inflation volatility. The finding that the shocks areof temporary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312187
Firmly-anchored inflation expectations are widely viewed as playing a central role in the successful conduct of … monetary policy. This paper presents estimates of trend inflation, based on information contained in survey expectations, the … term structure of interest rates, and realized inflation rates. My application combines a variety of data sources at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118650
standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility …Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a …. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843500
This paper analyzes the effects of legal central bank independence (CBI) on inflation volatility in developing … countries. We discuss why CBI should curb inflation volatility, independently from its effect via lowering inflation levels … the endogeneity of CBI and inflation. Our results are robust to alternative measurements of the main variables, different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014344441
, could not only push up CPI inflation but also affect its volatility. Existing empirical literature has only found that … carbon pricing schemes are generally associated to a transitory effect on the level of inflation. This paper assesses … empirically the effects of carbon pricing on inflation volatility for both carbon tax and cap-and-trade schemes (also known as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244322
This work investigates effects of conventional monetary policy and central bank information shocks from monetary policy announcements on the U.S. economy. We identify the surprises caused by changes in target rate and central bank’s private information embedded in high frequency exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304714
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715915