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One empirical argument that has been around for some time and that clearly contra- dicts equity market efficiency is that market prices seem too volatile to be optimal estimates of the present value of future discounted cash flows. Based on this, it is deduced that systematic pricing errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003482498
In this paper we motivate, specify and estimate a model in which the intra-day volatilty process affects the inter-transaction duration process and vice versa. In order to solve the estimation problems implied by this interdependent formulation, we first propose a GMM estimation procedure for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579173
Alternative strategies for predicting stock market volatility are examined. In out-of-sample forecasting experiments implied-volatility information, derived from contemporaneously observed option prices or history-based volatility predictors, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767118
capital markets, which are considered as efficient and perfect in theory, are volatile and imperfect in reality. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137195
In this study, we apply a rolling window approach to wavelet-filtered (denoised) S&P500 returns (2000–2020) to obtain time varying Hurst exponents. We analyse the dynamics of the Hurst exponents by applying statistical tests (e.g., for stationarity, Gaussianity and self-similarity), a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229642
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009561750
We find intra-industry contagion and the following other potential violations of the efficient market hypothesis following large one-day individual stock price decline events. On average, after an event, the event stock experiences a positive three-day abnormal return (S&P 600 stocks) followed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131645
Observed by more than 1.5 billion Muslims, Ramadan is one of the most celebrated religious rituals in the world. We investigate stock returns during Ramadan for 14 predominantly Muslim countries over the years 1989-2007. The results show that stock returns during Ramadan are significantly higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134379
This paper tests the random walk hypothesis and weak form market efficiency in the VIX futures market using a variety of tests. A unit root in the aggregated market price series suggests that the VIX futures market is efficient. For the individual VIX futures price series, 51 of 54 futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138661
Call markets are claimed to aggregate information and facilitate price discovery where continuous markets may fail. Its advantage, however, comes at the cost of immediacy. The impact of the introduction of call auction has not been found uniformly beneficial, possibly due to poor design or due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096649