We offer a closer look at the frequency distribution of nominal price changes in the foreign exchange markets for a sample of 10 European exchange-rate pairs on the basis of a unique quarterly data set spanning 273 years. Our analysis clearly illustrates the risk of seriously underestimating the...

Literature recognise that announcement impinge shocks which could shift the mean behaviour of the exchange rate. This study apply event driven models to analyse how the expectation of daily log-exchange rate and its daily log-return respond to all the 88 MPC meetings and selected CBN's...

Exchange rate is one of the macroeconomic indicators that gives concern to policy makers and investors as its movements are mostly unpredictable and tend to affect both trade and capital flows. Hence, this study analyzes exchange rate volatility clustering among selected WAMZ countries for the...

This study tests the Portfolio Balance Theory (PBT) for Nigeria for the period starting from September, 1997 to September, 2018. It extends the hypothesized linear inverse relationship between exchange rate and stock price to include asymmetries and structural breaks. It further examines the...

Rational expectations models fail to explain the disconnect between the exchange rate and macroeconomic fundamentals. In line with survey evidence on the behaviour of foreign exchange traders, we introduce model misspecification and learning into a standard monetary model. Agents use simple...

The exchange rate between the Naira and other currencies has continued to witness variability with depreciation. This variability makes it difficult to predict returns. Against this background, this paper examines the naira exchange rate vis-a-vis four other currencies. The impact of exogenous...

The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...

We investigate the long-term effect of domestic currency depreciation on the external debt for a panel of 41 emerging economies over the years 1999-2019. Using heterogenous panel cointegration methods, we find that domestic currency depreciation leads to an increase in external debt to GDP ratio...

The Theory demonstrates that oil price and oil volatility (OVX) are significant determinants of economic activity; however, studies seldom consider both variables in the oil-exchange rate nexus and ignore the distributional heterogeneity of the exchange rate. We investigate their joint effect...

Changes in net positions of foreign and local investors in the forward market may have differential effects on the spot exchange rate. This paper assesses the role of different sectors in the derivatives market and their potential impact with other fundamentals on the spot exchange rate in...