Showing 1 - 10 of 10,387
We decompose the non-diversifiable market risk into continuous and discontinuous components and jump systematic risks into positive vs. negative and small vs. large components. We examine their association with equity risk premia across major equity markets. We show that developed markets jumps...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895506
This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813880
We construct a global implied volatility surface by combining information from the index options of twenty countries and regions. The convexity of the global surface positively predicts equity premia around the world, in- and out-of-sample, at horizons from one to twelve months. Semi-annually,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349532
This paper calibrates a class of jump-diffusion long-run risks (LRR) models to quantify how well they can jointly explain the equity risk premium and the variance risk premium in the U.S. financial markets, and whether they can generate realistic dynamics of riskneutral and realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009734341
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781
This paper investigates how the investors responses to the evolution of uncertainty affect equilibrium asset returns. I develop a discrete-time real endowment economy where the aggregate economic uncertainty, as detected by a time-change for the endowment process, alters the perceived utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131562
Winner stocks have higher risk exposure to Fama and French's (1993) three factors (FF3F) than loser stocks during good economic times, and therefore should earn higher expected returns. Employing the conditional FF3F model to risk adjust returns on winner and loser stocks can reduce the average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065594
This study finds crude oil prices (`oil prices') affect market or portfolio expected returns on the NSE only via inducement of changes to risk aversion parameters of the `representative agent' who has exposure to both stock market return volatility risk and oil price risk. I refer to this effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903916
This paper documents that systematic volatility risk is an important factor that drives the value premium observed in the French stock market. Using returns on at-the-money straddles written on the CAC 40 index as a proxy for systematic volatility risk, I document significant differences between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008746
We examine whether equity return dispersion, measured by the cross-sectional standard deviation of stock returns, is systematically priced in the cross-section of stock returns in China. We find that return dispersion carries a positive price of risk even after controlling for market, size,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023627