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Corporate campaign contributions as a predictor for abnormal stock returns after presidential elections
Huber, Jürgen; Kirchler, Michael - 2008
Contributions by investor-owned companies play major roles in financing the campaigns of candidates for elective office in the United States. We look at the presidential level and analyze contributions by companies before an election and their stock market performance following US presidential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009733230
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What moves political ideology? : an economic analysis of electoral volatility in France since 1889
Facchini, François; Melki, Mickaël - 2013
The theory of economic voting has extensively explored the influence of national economic conditions on votes for the … of voting swings in the sense of change in votes for non-governing parties. This is owed to the limitations of the theory … the incumbent at the heart of the theory of economic voting explains only a marginal part of total electoral volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724043
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What Moves Political Ideology? An Economic Analysis of Electoral Volatility in France Since 1889
Facchini, François; Melki, Mickael - 2021
The theory of economic voting has extensively explored the influence of national economic conditions on votes for the … of voting swings in the sense of change in votes for non-governing parties. This is owed to the limitations of the theory … the incumbent at the heart of the theory of economic voting explains only a marginal part of total electoral volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315805
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Tax Policy Uncertainty and Stock Return Volatility
Brown, Jennifer L. - 2017
This study finds that stock return volatility is higher during periods of high tax policy uncertainty (TPU), even after controlling for other sources of general macroeconomic uncertainty. Further, we find that the relation between TPU and stock return volatility is more pronounced where firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973819
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Electoral Volatility and Pre-Electoral Alliances
Invernizzi, Giovanna Maria - 2022
In multi-party systems, parties often form alliances before elections. What brings competing parties to coalesce into new entities? I present a model of electoral competition in which parties can form pre-electoral alliances and decide how binding these should be. Parties face a dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293639
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Why do stock markets negatively price democracy?
Bonaparte, Yosef - In: Journal of international financial markets, … 91 (2024), pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494751
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The price of populism : financial market outcomes of populist electoral success
Stöckl, Sebastian; Rode, Martin - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 189 (2021), pp. 51-83
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660170
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Growth, Volatility and Political Instability : Non-Linear Time-Series Evidence for Argentina, 1896-2000
Campos, Nauro F. - 2009
What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual time series data for Argentina from 1896 to 2000. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766848
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From riches to rags, and back? : institutional change, financial development and economic growth in Argentina since the 1890s
Campos, Nauro; Karanasos, Menelaos; Tan, Bin - 2014
Argentina is the only country in the world that was "developed" in 1900 and "developing" in 2000. The various competing explanations highlight, mainly, the roles of trade openness, political institutions, financial integration, financial development, and macroeconomic instability. Yet no study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440609
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Volatility and resilience of democratic public-good provision
Gersbach, Hans; Pitsuwan, Fikri; Bolgè, Giovanni Valvassori - 2024
We examine democratic public-good provision with heterogeneous legislators. Decisions are taken by majority rule and an agenda-setter proposes a level of the public good, taxes, and subsidies. Members are heterogeneous with respect to their benefits from the public good. We find that, depending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500614