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The 2008-2009 global financial crisis has raised new questions about the relationship between equity fund flows and stock market returns. This paper analyses it using US monthly data over the period 2000:1-2015:08. A VAR-GARCH(1,1)-in-mean model with a BEKK representation is estimated, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482859
The 2008-2009 global financial crisis has raised new questions about the relationship between equity fund flows and stock market returns. This paper analyses it using US monthly data over the period 2000:1-2015:08. A VAR-GARCH(1,1)-in-mean model with a BEKK representation is estimated, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479824
In this paper, we propose a stop-loss strategy to limit the downside risk of the well-known momentum strategy. At a stop-level of 10%, we find, with data from January 1926 to December 2013, that the maximum monthly losses of the equal- and value-weighted momentum strategies go down from -49.79%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006637
Momentum is one of the largest and most pervasive market anomalies. However, despite a high mean and Sharpe ratio, momentum suffers from large negative skewness that comes from momentum crash periods. These crashes occur in times of both market stress and market rebound and thus variables that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026403
We construct a momentum factor that identifies cross-sectional winners and losers based on a weighting scheme that incorporates all the price data, over the entire lookback period, as opposed to only the first and last price points of the window. The weighting scheme is derived from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236192
We provide empirical evidence that the returns on US equity momentum exhibit a time-varying skewness which deepens during dramatic losses (crashes). As a result, the dynamics of the strategy expected returns reflects the time variation in both conditional volatility and skewness. This has first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403316
To many people, the terror of falling share prices is often significant, often more so than the pleasure of gains. Accordingly, investors often want to minimize downside volatility as a part of their portfolio planning. Investors already have several tools to measure downside volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746020
We find that aggregate net equity fund flows are strongly negatively correlated with changes in expected future stock market volatility as measured by the VIX. Implying that investor purchase decisions are primarily driven by returns and sale decisions by risk perceptions, we further find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128717
This study examines the dynamic interaction among institutional investment (FII and Mutual Funds) and the stock market returns for India in a three factor vector autoregression (VAR) framework. The data set used in this study are in daily frequency spanning from 1st Jan 2002 to 31st July 2012...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059793
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985503