Low cash flow volatility firms receive stronger signals about future cash flow from a given cash flow shock, yielding a larger drop in demand for external finance and their cost of external finance, implying higher investment-cash flow sensitivities (ICFS). Empirical analysis in 6 European...

This paper studies the impact that pre-IPO cash flow volatility has on the initial and long-term value of a publicly traded firm. From the perspective of corporate risk management theory, higher cash flow volatility should reduce value in the form of higher borrowing costs, reduced investment,...

It is well-known that stock prices fluctuate far more than dividends. Traditional valuation methods are not able to depict this fact. In this paper we incorporate excess volatility into a simple DCF model by considering an autoregressive cash flows process with random coefficients. We show that...

One empirical argument that has been around for some time and that clearly contra- dicts equity market efficiency is that market prices seem too volatile to be optimal estimates of the present value of future discounted cash flows. Based on this, it is deduced that systematic pricing errors...

This paper applies a Bayesian break method to studying the empirical time-varying relations between stock price ratios and subjective expectations across the market and 30 industry portfolios monthly from 1976 to 2020. Cash flow expectations unconditionally explain 80% of price variations since...

We study the time-varying effects of Tobin's q and cash flow on investment dynamics in the USA using a vector autoregression model with drifting parameters and stochastic volatilities estimated via Bayesian methods. We find significant variation over time of the response of investment to shocks...

Public firms in the United States that provide better insurance against productivity shocks to their workers experience higher cash flow volatility. Differences in intra-firm risk sharing between workers and capital owners accounts for more than 50% of the variation in firm-level cash flow...