Creal, Drew; Wu, Jing Cynthia - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 11 (2020) 4, pp. 1461-1484
Gaussian affine term structure models attribute time‐varying bond risk premia to changing risk prices driven by the … model with recursive preferences. Our model is affine and has analytical bond prices making it empirically tractable. We use … particle Markov chain Monte Carlo to estimate the model, and find that time variation in bond term premia is predominantly …