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Robust inference intime-varying structural VAR models : the DC-Cholesky multivariate stochasticvolatility model
Hartwig, Benny - 2020
This paper investigates how the ordering of variables affects properties of the time-varying covariance matrix in the Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model.It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed whenthe ratio of volatilities is time-varying....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250452
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Robust inference in time-varying structural VAR models : the DC-cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model
Hartwig, Benny - 2020
This paper investigates how the ordering of variables affects properties of the time-varying covariance matrix in the Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model. It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed when the ratio of volatilities is time-varying....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424283
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Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2015
Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … volatility effects of the shock are driven by agents' concern about the (in)ability of the monetary authority to reverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
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The response of stock market volatility to futures-based measures of monetary policy shocks
Gospodinov, Nikolaj; Jamali, Ibrahim - 2014
's effect on fundamentals. The estimation results from a bivariate VAR-GARCH model suggest that the Fed does not respond to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
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Announcement-specific decompositions of unconventional monetary policy shocks and their macroeconomic effects
Lewis, Daniel J. - 2019
the real economy, I find that the asset purchase shock has significant effects on consumer and professional expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022250
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Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in a Global World
Bekaert, Geert - 2020
Since the global financial crisis, there has been renewed interest in understanding how monetary policy shocks transmit across countries through risk variables, spurring a literature on the "global financial cycle." This paper studies how (conventional and unconventional) monetary policy shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834260
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Identifying shocks via time-varying volatility
Lewis, Daniel J. - 2018
An n-variable structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) can be identified (up to shock order) from the evolution of the … process. I propose a new identification argument that identifies the SVAR up to shock orderings using the autocovariance … structure of second moments of the residuals implied by an arbitrary stochastic process for the shock variances. These higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926201
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Sources of euro real exchange rate fluctuations : what is behind the euro weakness in 1999 - 2000
Döpke, Jörg; Gottschalk, Jan; Kamps, Christophe - 2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001584428
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Sign restrictions and statistical identification under volatility breaks : simulation based evidence and an empirical application to monetary policy analysis ; conference paper
Herwartz, Helmut; Plödt, Martin - 2014
Apart from a priori assumptions on instantaneous or long run effects of structural shocks, sign restrictions have become a prominent means for structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) analysis. Moreover, second order heterogeneity of systems of times series can be fruitfully exploited for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482469
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Sources of euro real exchange rate fluctuations : what is behind the euro weakness in 1999-2000?
Döpke, Jörg; Gottschalk, Jan; Kamps, Christophe - 2001
This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473872