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One of the key components of financial risk management is risk measurement. This typically requires modeling … financial econometrics literature have developed several models based on Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to carry out these tasks …
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real estate bubble burst, credit crunch and banking panics. As a response, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a set of … ready-made approaches to risk management analysis. However, EVT is usually applied to standardized returns to offer more …
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Sudden and uncertain events often cause cross-contagion of risk among various sectors of the macroeconomy. This paper … introduces the stochastic volatility shock that follows a thick-tailed Student's t-distribution into a high-order approximate … uncertainty risk on macroeconomics. Then, the high-dimensional DSGE model (DSGE-SV-t) is developed to examine the impact of …
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The present article deals with intra-horizon risk in models with jumps. Our general understanding of intra-horizon risk … quantifying market risk by strictly relying on point-in-time measures cannot be deemed a satisfactory approach in general. Instead …, we argue that complementing this approach by studying measures of risk that capture the magnitude of losses potentially …
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We study a class of backtests for forecast distributions in which the test statistic is a spectral transformation that weights exceedance events by a function of the modeled probability level. The choice of the kernel function makes explicit the user's priorities for model performance. The class...
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