Showing 1 - 10 of 415
Abstract Behavioural finance has challenged many claims of efficient market hypothesis (EMH). Unfortunately many of these challenges are in the form of anecdotal evidence and lack quantification. This article uses market data together with some simple statistics to show that in practice certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009319869
This note explores machine learning based modelling approach over classical quantitative methods with a focus on modelling realized volatility of asset price over time. Initially, a few modelling assumptions of classical quantitative finance are examined using recent market data. Daily stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238231
We attempt to unveil the fine structure of volatility feedback effects in the context of general quadratic autoregressive (QARCH) models, which assume that today's volatility can be expressed as a general quadratic form of the past daily returns. The standard ARCH or GARCH framework is recovered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014168890
We study volatility spillovers among commodity and equity markets by employing a recently developed approach based on realized measures and forecast error variance decomposition invariant to the variable ordering from vector-autoregressions. This enables us to measure total, directional and net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063473
We show how bad and good volatility propagate through forex markets, i.e., we provide evidence for asymmetric volatility connectedness on forex markets. Using high-frequency, intra-day data of the most actively traded currencies over 2007 -- 2015 we document the dominating asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968615
The risky assets prices of the bi-variate model are reviewed under the hegemonize concentration filtered physical probability space. In the stochastic variance of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. The Mean-variance hedging expanse on the Föllmer-Schweizer decomposition is stringent to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956358
This paper presents a new formalism to price European options in all asset classes that fits the market data remarkably well. We use a model-independent representation of European Option prices as path integrals over all of the underlying asset price from inception to maturity. The no arbitrage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914760
I provide conditions under which the trimmed FDQML estimator, advanced by McCloskey (2010) in the context of fully parametric short-memory models, can be used to estimate the long-memory stochastic volatility model parameters in the presence of additive low-frequency contamination in log-squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098304
It is well-known that the market prices of options produce implied volatilities that inexplicably vary by exercise price in a pattern often referred to as the volatility smile. This paper shows that not only do market prices produce volatility smiles, but so do model prices. This result occurs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083985
The paper proposes a new robust estimator for GARCH-type models: the nonlinear iterative least squares (NL-ILS). This estimator is especially useful on specifications where errors have some degree of dependence over time (weak-GARCH) or when the conditional variance is misspecified. I illustrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928873