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Comparative politics scholars have spent a much time exploring the causes and consequences of electoral volatility, and the result is that much has been learned about what leads both established and emerging democracies to experience electoral volatility. While different measures and factors...
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in the United States. We look at the presidential level and analyze contributions by companies before an election and … abnormal positive post-election returns with (i) a higher percentage of contributions given to the eventual winner and (ii … to (i) the percentage of contributions given to the winner in a presidential election and (ii) the total contribution …
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There exists a persistent disagreement in the literature over the effect of business cycles on economic growth. This paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a negative indirect effect, operating through the insurance...
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This study finds that stock return volatility is higher during periods of high tax policy uncertainty (TPU), even after controlling for other sources of general macroeconomic uncertainty. Further, we find that the relation between TPU and stock return volatility is more pronounced where firms...
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In multi-party systems, parties often form alliances before elections. What brings competing parties to coalesce into new entities? I present a model of electoral competition in which parties can form pre-electoral alliances and decide how binding these should be. Parties face a dynamic...
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