We apply the directed acyclic graph and spillover index models and find significant evidence of both implied volatility contagion and spillover. First, the global implied volatility smiles exhibit strong regional clustering. The European and American options markets form a separate contemporary...

This study investigates the economic and financial drivers of volatility changes and integrates them into stock market volatility forecasting. We first collect a diverse set of predictor variables and analyze them within a unified framework. We discover that only a small number of variables...

This study examines the response of intraday options-implied volatilities to scheduled announcements of major macroeconomic indicators. By analyzing the KOSPI 200 options intraday data, we find that the abnormal implied volatility significantly increases around announcements of macroeconomic...

This study predicts stock market volatility and applies them to the standard problem in finance, namely, asset allocation. Based on machine learning and model averaging approaches, we integrate the drivers’ predictive information to forecast market volatilities. Using various evaluation...

The authors re-examine the return-volatility relationship and its dynamics under a new vector autoregression (VAR) identification framework. By analyzing two model-free impliedvolatility indices – the well-established VIX (in the United States) and the recently published VKOSPI (in Korea) –...