The performance of analysts’ forecasts has attracted increasing attention in recent years. However, as yet, no empirical study has investigated the nexus between the analyst forecast dispersion (AFD) and excess returns surrounding stock market crashes in any depth. This paper attempts to fill...

This paper investigates the causal relationship between economic policy narratives, derived from President Trump's tweets and tweeting behavior, and stock market uncertainty. To this end, I define different event types based on the occurrence probability of identified narratives or unusual tweet...

This paper investigates the causal relationship between economic policy narratives, derived from President Trump's tweets and tweeting behavior, and stock market uncertainty. To this end, I define different event types based on the occurrence probability of identifted narratives or unusual tweet...

Understanding the pattern of stock market volatility is important to investors as well as for investment policy. Volatility is directly associated with risks and returns, higher the volatility the more financial market is unstable. The volatility of the Zimbabwean stock market is modeled using...

BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) are viewed currently as pillars of relative political, economic and financial stability, with the prospect of a major shift in future world power. The paper aims at investigating the relationships among the economic, financial and political...

Using a representative agent model in which the investor is averse to ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty) and sees an ambiguous piece of news about the fundamental value of a risky asset, I show a number of predictions for the dynamics of stocks around news: Stocks respond more strongly to bad...

Volatility is essential to consider uncertainty surrounding investments in financial assets. For this reason, financial industry regulators, mutual fund managers, individual and institutional investors, and policymakers are concerned about volatility. Against this background, this paper...

We investigate the behavior of daily aggregate U.S. CDS spreads during almost six years. Existing linkages between credit and equity markets advocate the use of market price and volatility channels as explanatory factors. In particular, the evolution of CDS spreads is analyzed along with the...

This study introduces a novel index based on expectations concordance for explaining stock-price volatility when historically unique events cause unforeseeable change and Knightian uncertainty in the process driving outcomes. Expectations concordance measures the degree to which non-repetitive...

The main purpose of this study is to empirically examine the relationship between uncertainty and idiosyncratic volatility of Nikkei 225 stocks. We conclude that there is a positive relationship between economic policy uncertainty and idiosyncratic volatility. Employing additional uncertainty...