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Overdependence on oil revenue has exposed the economy to shocks from oil price variations. In this paper, we investigated the relationship between oil price on the stock prices of oil and gas firms quoted in the Nigerian Stock Exchange market. In doing so, the ARDL and NARDL approach is applied...
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This paper investigates the relationship between volatility and economic growth in the European regions over the period 1995-2008. To that end, we estimate a two-way fixed effects panel data model using spatial econometric techniques that allow us to incorporate into the analysis the relevance...
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We analyze the dynamic effect of prices and price volatility on current oil production, both on the level of country groups and the major individual producer countries. A comprehensive dataset at monthly frequency allows us to include a rich lag structure while controlling for key global and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009268967
In this paper we examine the drivers of stock market value in the upstream (producers) and downstream segments (petroleum refiners) of the oil industry.Using a sample of U.S. firms we find that stock returns of upstream and downstream firms follow stock market and oil price returns. Moreover,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045971
In this work, we propose an analysis of the global market for crude oil based on a revised version of the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model introduced by Kilian and Murphy (2014). On this respect, we replace the global proxy for above-ground crude oil inventories with the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794647
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Why does natural resource wealth prolong incumbency? Using evidence from parliamentary elections in the Islamic Republic of Iran, I show that natural resource revenues boost incumbent reelection rates because this revenue is used to provide public or private goods to constituents, incentivizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014143790
This paper studies how macroeconomic policies can help offset two unintended and undesirable features of foreign aid: its volatility and Dutch disease. We present evidence that aid volatility augments trade balance volatility and that foreign aid, with the important exception of years of adverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752145