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of GARCH-X models improves the accuracy of their volatility forecasts for spot and 1-year time-charter tanker freight … of the volatility forecasts drawn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893144
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002118377
GARCH-jump models of metal price returns, while allowing for sudden movements (jumps), apply the same specification of the jump component in both ‘bear' and ‘bull' markets. As a result, the more frequent but relatively small jumps that occur in both bear and bull markets dominate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158086
This paper examines the existence of dynamic volatility spillovers within and between the dry-bulk and tanker freight … markets by employing the multivariate DCC-GARCH model and the volatility spillover index developed by Diebold & Yilmaz (2009 … disaggregation of volatility spillovers in total, directional, net and net pair- wise. Results reveal the existence of large time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995247
This paper explores the evolving relationship in the volatility of sovereign yields in the European Economic and …-2010 period. In a first step, we decompose volatility in permanent and transitory components using Engel and Lee (1999)'s … bond-yield volatility than shocks to the underlying fundamentals. In a second step, we develop a correlation and causality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014182639
This paper investigates the performance of various conditional volatility models to forecast the second moment of … that accounting for volatility regimes and asymmetry does not enhance the performance of one-day-ahead forecasts of either …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867583
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011341934
futures price volatility of existing gold futures with two contract sizes, 50 baht-weight and 10 baht-weight, using symmetric … modelling gold futures price volatility. The results confirm that the coming into market of Gold-D significantly reduces the … price volatility of existing gold futures. There is not a significant negative relationship between the introduction of Gold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179506
This paper documents law of one price violations in equity volatility markets. While tightly linked by no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391498
The impact of Bitcoin futures introduction on the underlying Bitcoin volatility has been a controversial topic … the impacts of Bitcoin futures trading on spot market volatility in the short and long run. Using exponential GARCH model …, we introduce a dummy in the variance equation to capture the changes in the volatility before and after the introduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215325