Showing 1 - 10 of 12,025
Straddles on individual stocks generally earn significantly negative returns. However, average at the money straddles from three days before an earnings announcement to the announcement date yield a highly significant 3.34% return. The positive returns on straddles indicate that investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974681
We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive this measure from an option-pricing model where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244502
Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during major information events. This paper investigates whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
We examine the role of concurrent information in the striking increase in investor response to earnings announcements from 2001 to 2016, as measured by return variability and volume following Beaver (1968). We find management guidance, analyst forecasts, and disaggregated financial statement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873121
The Volume-Synchronized Probability of Informed Trading (VPIN) metric is proposed by Easley et al. (2011, 2012) as a real-time measure of order flow toxicity in an electronic trading market. This paper examines the performance of VPIN around inventory announcements and price jumps in crude oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960711
This research analyses high-frequency data of the cryptocurrency market in regards to intraday trading patterns. We study trading quantitatives such as returns, traded volumes, volatility periodicity, and provide summary statistics of return correlations to CRIX (CRyptocurrency IndeX), as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838218
We study a continuous-time pure exchange economy where idiosyncratic cash flow risks are priced via investors' heterogeneous beliefs. Investors perceive idiosyncratic cash flow risks differently through heterogeneous subjective mean growth rates on a firm's cash flow. This impacts equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019887
This paper provides a theoretical explanation for the heteroscedasticity of asset returns. In line with existing empirical results, our model yields an asymmetric relationship between stock return and volatility. Based on the simple assumptions that investors behave according to Prospect Theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998364
I propose to use volatility to infer opportunistic insider sales. I argue that insider sales occurring when volatility is low are suspicious and that these suspicious sales are likely to be driven by insiders’ private information for the following reasons. Suppose that insider sales are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249279
In this paper, we introduce a new Bayesian approach to explain some market anomalies during financial crises and subsequent recovery. We assume that the earnings shock of an asset follows a random walk model with and without drift to incorporate the impact of financial crises. We further assume...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441491