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VIX futures prices rose slowly in late February and early March 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic took hold. Futures price premiums, defined as futures prices minus real-time statistical forecasts of future VIX values, turned sharply negative and remained negative until mid-April. Trading strategies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244975
This paper investigates for the first time the effects of oil demand shocks and oil supply shocks on stock order flow imbalances leading to changes in stock returns. Through the estimation of a structural VAR model, positive oil demand shocks are able to explain almost 36% of the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959469
This paper studies the heterogeneous effects of the COVID-19 outbreak on stock prices in China and its hidden mechanisms from multi perspectives. First, we confirm the recent conclusion that the spread of the epidemic has a significant negative impact on stock market returns. However, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822628
We propose a novel high-frequency decomposition of daily stock returns into news- and non-news-driven components, and uncover evidence of pervasive stock market underreaction to firm news. Prices tend to drift in the same direction as the initial market response for several days after the news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855933
This study investigated the impact of the introduction of the VN30-Index futures contract on the daily returns anomaly for the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE). Daily returns of the VN30-Index for the period 6 February 2012 through 31 December 2019 are used in this study to ascertain the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607573
This paper aims to measure the positive (Expectations) and negative (Fears) investor sentiment about the ongoing economic conditions and analyze both sentiments for changes in stock market returns. Following the method proposed by Da et al. (2014), this study estimates the investor’s economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239915
We examine the impact of COVID-19 (C-19) pandemic on global equity markets by constructing novel infection indices. Our results show that the impact of prompt and large-scale policy interventions is ambiguous yet statistically significant. However, in this equivocality, the impact of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242732
In this paper, the role of the reference-dependent preference in the relationship between idiosyncratic volatility and future return was investigated in the Korean stock market from July 1990 to June 2018. The capital gains overhang was used as a reference point for a definition of the loss and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179662
This paper discusses the role that stock market volatility plays in the linkages between the U.S. stock and Treasury bond markets through liquidity under different regimes of investor sentiment in a threshold vector autoregression model. The baseline analysis shows that the interaction between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294050
This study investigated the impact of investor sentiment impact on sectoral returns and their volatility on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange using a proxy-based composite investor sentiment index and generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models. Overall, findings showed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500435