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Examining the economies of the European Union from 2000 to 2023, we have found no strong evidence that the inflation … the euro area, aimed at rapidly bringing inflation under control, could actually be detrimental to economic growth. Since … the negative effects of monetary tightening on growth are clear, while the benefits of rapidly reducing inflation on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015210370
The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices in Russia during the period of 2000–2012 using vector error correction model. Exchange rate pass-through asymmetry estimates, its assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398366
patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the normal regime, oil price shocks … followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the same … direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771984
Historians have suggested there were waves of inflation or price revolutions in the UK (and earlier England) in the 13 …th, 16th, and 18th centuries, prior to the ongoing inflation since 1914. We study retail price inflation since 1251 and … volatility. The long-horizon forecasts suggest only one inflation wave, that of the 20th century. We also use the model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012490912
, the Argentine economy transitioned from a low‐ to a high‐inflation regime, while collective bargaining and the minimum … low to high inflation, the monthly frequency of regular‐wage changes almost doubled, while the distribution of regular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306240
inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
We identify supply and demand shocks to the real price of natural gas in the Euro Area and the United States. Demand shocks are identified using exogenous temperature variations, while supply shocks are identified through a high-frequency strategy based on an extensive collection of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408158
Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540
the positive correlation between inflation and inflation variability. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422986
Friedman’s hypothesis regarding the relationship between inflation, inflation uncertainty and output growth states that … full employment policy objective of the government tends to increase the rate of inflation which increases the uncertainty … about the future course of inflation. Increase in inflation uncertainty lowers economic efficiency and reduces output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011085054