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Bond risk premia in consumption‐based models
Creal, Drew; Wu, Jing Cynthia - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 11 (2020) 4, pp. 1461-1484
Gaussian affine term structure models attribute time‐varying bond risk premia to changing risk prices driven by the … model with recursive preferences. Our model is affine and has analytical bond prices making it empirically tractable. We use … particle Markov chain Monte Carlo to estimate the model, and find that time variation in bond term premia is predominantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316725
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Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Wang, Shixuan; Wohar, … - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 52 (2020), pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654789
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Crude oil price shocks and stock returns : evidence from Turkish stock market under global liquidity conditions
Berk, Istemi; Aydogan, Berna - 2012
The purpose of this study is to investigate the impacts of crude oil price variations on the Turkish stock market returns. We have employed vector autoregression (VAR) model using daily observations of Brent crude oil prices and Istanbul Stock Exchange National Index (ISE-100) returns for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743922
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Measuring market expectations
Baumeister, Christiane - 2021
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
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Modelling asymmetric sovereign bond yield volatility with univariate GARCH models : evidence from India
Lithin BM; Chakraborty, Suman; Iyer, Vishwanathan; Nikhil MN - In: Cogent economics & finance 11 (2023) 1, pp. 1-33
dynamics and measures the persistence of shocks to the sovereign bond yield volatility in India from 1 January 2016, to 18 May …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500716
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Inflation risk premia, yield volatility and macro factors
Berardi, Andrea; Plazzi, Alberto - 2018
We incorporate a latent stochastic volatility factor and macroeconomic expectations in an affine model for the term structure of nominal and real rates. We estimate the model over 1999-2016 on U.S. data for nominal and TIPS yields, the realized and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
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Dissecting the yield curve : the international evidence
Berardi, Andrea; Plazzi, Alberto - 2019
Nominal yields can be expressed as the sum of an expectation, term premium, and convexity component, and in turn of their real and inflation counterparts. We extract these terms from the yield curve of the U.S., Euro Area, U.K., and Japan using a term structure model that explicitly captures the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179422
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Tests for jumps in yield spreads
Winkelmann, Lars; Yao, Wenying - 2021
This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372
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Tests for jumps in yield spreads
Winkelmann, Lars; Yao, Wenying - 2023
This paper studies high-frequency econometric methods to test for a jump in the spread of bond yields. We propose a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097
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Macro risks and the term structure of interest rates
Bekaert, Geert; Engstrom, Eric; Ermolov, Andrey - In: Journal of financial economics 141 (2021) 2, pp. 479-504
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259807