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We build a parsimonious agent-based model under the adaptive market hypothesis (AMH), which can explain the formation of equilibrium prices and market efficiency dynamics. Our model combines heterogeneous interacting agents, switching behavior, and investor feedback on past realized returns,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334820
We revisit and extend the study by Chordia et al. (2014) which documents that, in recent years, increased liquidity has significantly decreased exploitable returns of capital market anomalies in the US. Using a novel international dataset of arbitrage portfolio returns for four well-known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908691
We quantify the reaction of U.S. equity, bond futures, and exchange rate returns to oil price shocks driven by oil inventory news. Across most sectors, equity prices decrease in response to higher oil prices before the 2007/08 crisis but increase after it. Positive oil price shocks cause a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181225
We propose a novel agent-based financial market framework in which speculators usually follow their own individual technical and fundamental trading rules to determine their orders. However, there are also sunspot-initiated periods in which their trading behavior is correlated. We are able to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514740
Using newly available information on euro area sectoral holdings of securities, this paper investigates to what extent the presence of institutional investors affects volatility and liquidity in secondary bank bond markets. We find that non-bank financial intermediaries, in particular money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009073
In this paper we address three main objections of behavioral finance to the theory of rational finance, considered as “anomalies” the theory of rational finance cannot explain: (i) Predictability of asset returns; (ii) The Equity Premium; (iii) The Volatility Puzzle. We offer resolutions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392
The asset value of government has traditionally been seen as the accounting value of public assets. We develop a detailed financial economics view on sovereign asset values using market measures to arrive at implied sovereign asset values. We establish definition and dependencies within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486036
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013461274
The financial markets stylized facts, volatility and its relationship with returns tested empirically in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). ARMA- ARCH type models including two symmetric conditional hetroscedastic models; ARMA (1, 1) - ARCH (1) and ARMA (1, 1) - GARCH (1, 1) and two asymmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115744