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Macroeconomic implications of oil-price shocks to emerging economies : a Markov regime-switching approach

Togonidze, Sophio; Kočenda, Evžen - 2022

We investigate an impact of oil-price shocks on GDP and exchange rate dynamics in resource-heterogeneous economies. We …-linear effects and timevarying parameters of the VAR process. Empirically we use quarterly data series in oil exporting, metal …-exporting, and less-resource-intensive economies. On average, real GDP in oil-exporting economies exhibits substantial contraction …

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