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This paper states that market sentiments are central to any financial data analysis. A vivid distinction is made between studying financial data in terms of the concept of volatility and in rapport to analysing financial data in terms of market sentiments. The former is an existing approach that...
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We use monthly data covering a century-long sample period (1915–2021) to study whether geopolitical risk helps to forecast subsequent gold volatility. We account not only for geopolitical threats and acts, but also for 39 country-specific sources of geopolitical risk. The response of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015198557
decompositions of unexpected stock returns. The evidence proves robust and consistently indicates intensified equity market linkage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009447946
This study investigates the volatility in daily stock returns for Total Nigeria Plc using nine variants of GARCH models … backtesting. We use daily data for Total Nigeria Plc returns for the period January 2, 2001 to May 8, 2017, and conclude that … to converge; the mean reverting number of days for returns differed from model to model. From the analysis of VaR and its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012602854
over 2,000 listed firms in China. The paper examines both the pattern of state ownership and the dynamics of stock returns … Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and using panel estimation techniques examine the dynamics of returns, volatility and their … in 2001. In examining the behaviour of stock returns the authors find evidence of daily and monthly autocorrelations that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014694665
(RLS) model using the approach of Lu and Perron (2010) and Li and Perron (2013) for the volatility of daily stocks returns … suggest that the level shifts in the volatility of daily stocks returns data are infrequent but once they are taken into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105601
The literature has shown that the volatility of Stock and Forex rate market returns shows the characteristic of long … Stock and Forex returns. The model consists of the sum of a short term memory component and a component of level shifts. The … account, the characteristic or property of long memory disappears. Also, the presence of GARCH e§ects is eliminated when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011079222
El trabajo analiza si la interrelación entre el mercado bursátil español y las bolsas de Estados Unidos, Reino Unido, Alemania y Francia se ha visto afectada y cómo por la reciente crisis financiera. Para ello, se estima un modelo VAR-GARCH bivariante, durante el período enero de 2000 a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010764846
A multivariate VAR-EGARCH is used to examine the returns and volatility dynamics between thin-traded adjusted equity … returns from Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa. The findings suggest a reciprocal return spillover between Ghana and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010776503