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Combining forecasts for elections : accurate, relevant, and timely

Rothschild, David - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 952-964

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474749

Forecasting elections with non-representative polls

Wang, Wei; Rothschild, David; Goel, Sharad; Gelman, Andrew - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 980-991

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474763

Economic expectations, voting, and economic decisions around elections

Huberman, Gur; Konitzer, Tobias; Krupenkin, Masha; … - In: AEA papers and proceedings 108 (2018), pp. 597-602

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011891429

Forecasting Elections : Comparing Prediction Markets, Polls, and Their Biases

Rothschild, David M. - 2010

Using the 2008 elections, I explore the accuracy and informational content of forecasts derived from two different types of data: Polls and prediction markets. Both types of data suffer from inherent biases, and this is the first analysis to compare the accuracy of these forecasts adjusting for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149319