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Can right-wing terrorism increase support for far-right populist parties, and if so, why? Exploiting quasi-random variation between successful and failed attacks across German municipalities, we find that successful attacks lead to significant increases in the vote share for the right-wing,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364725
This paper provides experimental evidence on the electoral effect of a large education reform in a developing democracy. Despite significantly improving school quality, the policy reduced the incumbent party's presidential vote share by 3 percentage points (10%). This does not imply that voters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336473
Policymakers are increasingly interested these days in how they can achieve desired outcomes using 'nudges' - low-cost and non-obtrusive interventions which rely on psychological mechanisms, rather than high-powered economic incentives, to influence people's behaviour. This paper applies the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011660781
We report two studies investigating whether, and if so how, different interventions affect voter registration rates. In a natural field experiment conducted before the 2015 UK General Election, we varied messages on a postcard sent by Oxford City Council to unregistered student voters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011770644
This paper shows that import exposure affects voting behavior because it affects local labor markets. We develop a new … turmoil. The voting response to import exposure can entirely be explained by the labor market adjustments to import exposure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781026
We present an exploratory machine learning analysis of populist votes at municipality level in the 2018 Italian general elections, in which populist parties gained almost 50% of the votes. Starting from a comprehensive set of local characteristics, we use an algorithm based on BIC to obtain a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762870
We study communication in committees selecting one of two alternatives when consensus is required and agents have private information about their preferences. Delaying the decision is costly, so a form of multiplayer war of attrition emerges. Waiting allows voters to express the intensity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872697
This paper explores whether professional macroeconomic forecasters manipulate their forecasts to influence voting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014583811
experiment, which creates a controlled environment with no ideological components nor strategic voting. The negative ad has no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154709