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I estimate regime-dependent spillover effects from government spending shocks across the members of the European Monetary Union (EMU). I use panel regressions for a total of 14 EMU economies from 1997 to 2022. Government spending shocks are defined by unexpected innovations to forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335117
The need for macroprudential policy to “lean against the wind” of credit cycles at the aim of financial and hence macroeconomic stability is a common belief. Which design of macroprudential policy might attain the greatest stability for the economy is still an open debate. This paper builds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841094
This paper investigates the welfare and economic stabilization properties of a fiscal transfers scheme between members of a monetary union subject to sovereign spread shocks. The scheme, which consists of cross-country transfer rules triggered when sovereign spreads widen, is incorporated in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927924
calibration results show that consumption multipliers to be small and negative. However, the output multiplier is positive and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887782
Fiscal policy is widely criticized for its failure to act as a stabilizing countercyclical force in the European Monetary Union. Two periods should be distinguished: Prior to the Financial Crisis of 2008, when monetary policy had traction to pursue stability for the aggregate eurozone, fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401689
In this paper, we incorporate a transfer mechanism into a DSGE model with a rich fiscal sector to assess the effectiveness of fiscal transfers for a monetary union, in particular for the Economic and Monetary Union. Using a heterogeneous setup, the model is estimated for the North and the South...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988404
The growing concern about the financial system stability has turned macroprudential policy into a key instrument of the policy mix. Through a two-country model for a monetary union, I evaluate the optimal combinations of macroprudential and fiscal policy, both in terms of welfare maximization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242542
In light of persistent in ation dispersion and rising debt levels in the EMU, this paper investigates the welfare implications of budget-neutral scal policies that counteract in ation di erentials. In a two-country DSGE model of a monetary union with traded and non-traded goods a national scal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437921
Countries which share a common currency potentially have strong incentives to share macroeconomic risks through a system of transfers to compensate for the loss of national monetary policy. However, the option to leave the currency union and regain national monetary policy can place severe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825641
Differential requirements for seigniorage provide a weak case for retaining monetary independence. As regards adjustment to asymmetric shocks, nominal exchange rate flexibility is at best a limited blessing and at worst a limited curse. Absence of significant fiscal redistribution mechanisms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089435