Recent empirical evidence shows that gross official capital transactions flow upstream in the international financial markets due to government policy objectives and that they account for the current account surpluses observed in the last decade in the fast-growing emerging economies. Following...

We examine structural differences in growth vulnerabilities across countries associated with financial risk indicators. Considering trade openness, financial sector size, the public spending ratio and government effectiveness, our findings suggest the existence of a structural gap and a risk...

This paper proposes a model that links households and firms, as usual, by markets for factors and goods and, additionally, by a banking sector that channels households' funds to firms and eliminates idiosyncratic risk. In equilibrium, agency costs and tax benefits of corporate debt are...

The paper recounts the history of the finance-growth nexus research from its origins to the yearly 1990s. The contributions are analyzed in connection with the socioeconomic context and advances in economic theory. Many ideas first expressed decades ago are still subject to constant discussions...

A cornerstone of the Chinese growth model has been the opening up of its economy to private competition. Some observers claim that China has changed course since joining the WTO by increasingly promoting ‘state capitalism', the large State Owned Enterprises, thereby compromising a growth model...

Pension fund savers face a future of lower investment returns, states a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “One Percent? For Real? Insights from Modern Growth Theory about Future Investment Returns,” authors Steve Ambler and Craig Alexander project a 1 percent rate of real return...

The paper evaluates the future capital needs of Eastern countries and the potential structure of financing. Under certain growth assumptions, the investment needs amount to some $ 169 bn per year for Eastern Europe and nearly three times this amount for the former Soviet Union. Accelerating the...

This paper studies the economic growth implications of financial innovations that emerge in more sophisticated and complete financial markets. Financial innovations in the form of new financial instruments, services, institutions, technologies, and markets mobilise financial surpluses from...

As noted by Gurley and Shaw, there is a typical pattern of economic development in which the evolution of the financial system is an essential aspect of the growth process. We focus on one component of this evolution: the increasing importance of equity markets as an economy grows. We develop a...

This article explores the determinants of people’s growth prospects in survey data as well as the impact of the European recovery fund to future growth. The focus is on the aftermath of the Corona pandemic, which is a natural limit to the sample size. We use Eurobarometer survey data and...