Diaz-Serrano, Luis; Hartog, Joop; Nilsson, William; … - 2016 - First draft 12-05-14; revised 26-01-15; this draft 19-09-2016
Students' choices in education can only be based on expected outcomes. Econometric models that infer expectations based on ex post outcomes impose a rational structure of expectations on school performance and post-graduation earnings. Direct surveys suggest much ignorance and fuzziness. We use...