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relation between their current wages and their past wages, adjusted for inflation. We call this the post-crisis Phillips Curve …In this paper we test a new empirical relationship between wage and inflation. We introduce the concept of a cumulative …. The shape of the post-crisis Phillips Curve expresses the theoretical assumption that the inflation rate stays below its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162969
Central bankers are raising interest rates on the assumption that wage-push inflation may lead to stagflation. This is … to maintain their real wages by reducing labor demand still further. Furthermore, we argue inflationary pressures have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448558
Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
wage formation and inflation is used to illustrate this argument. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014229836
A model of nominal labor-price dynamics is derived from the choice of an efficient strategy to adjust wages for … inflation. The model, named the rational-arrangements Phillips curve, identifies a central role for catch-up to price inflation … that has already occurred and a more latent role for rational expectations of future inflation. The reinterpreted Phillips …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728533
Despite notable improvements in the labour market since 2013, wage growth in the euro area was subdued and substantially overpredicted in 2013-17. This paper summarises the findings of an ESCB expert group on the reasons for low wage growth and provides comparable analyses on wage developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063794
. Latvia stands out as having had the quickest adjustment in wages. By contrast, before the crisis, Greek wages appeared to … wages to unemployment in Greece was under the program similar to that observed in Germany and Portugal (a case, which has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691586
Program. Latvia stands out as having had the quickest adjustment in wages. By contrast, before the crisis, Greek wages … reaction of wages to unemployment in Greece under the program was increasingly similar to that observed in Germany and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657630
Tight labour markets are usually accompanied by mounting wage pressures. Yet, in the past decade, wage growth has remained subdued despite the appearance of widespread labour shortages. This paper re-examines labour market conditions since 2007 through the lens of a novel indicator, relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012594258
particular cases. We show that a contract length of about six quarters fits best the observed cyclical properties of wages and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777980