What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …

What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …

What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …

A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …

1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election …-back of such expansion. Absent this anti-Trump effect, Trump would have been on the precipice of re-election by winning …

By Election Day 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic had killed 234,244 Americans and caused the sharpest macroeconomic downturn …

What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …

1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election …-back of such expansion. Absent this anti-Trump effect, Trump would have been on the precipice of re-election by winning …

according to the 1995 election law. We show that in the second and third weeks after the 2020 elections (held on October 9 …

election affects their performance. This study uses 3,716 firm-year observations for firms listed on the Indonesian Stock … parties involved in the presidential election in the past three elections. Due to the complexity of the data collection, this … excellent financial performance of SOEs disappears around the election period. It indicates that being a board member of state …