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Did COVID-19 cost Trump the election?
Lake, James; Nie, Jun - 2021
A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421123
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Do elections accelerate the COVID-19 pandemic? : evidence from a natural experiment
Palguta, Ján; Levínský, René; Škoda, Samuel - 2021
according to the 1995 election law. We show that in the second and third weeks after the 2020 elections (held on October 9 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589175
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The COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 U.S. presidential election
Baccini, Leonardo; Brodeur, Abel; Weymouth, Stephen - 2021
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391359
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The COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 U.S. presidential election
Baccini, Leonardo; Brodeur, Abel; Weymouth, Stephen - 2020
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311095
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The COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 U.S. presidential election
Baccini, Leonardo; Brodeur, Abel; Weymouth, Stephen - 2020
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315469
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Lockdown and Voting Behaviour : A Natural Experiment on Postponed Elections during the COVID-19 Pandemic
Giommoni, Tommaso; Loumeau, Gabriel - 2020
The goal of this paper is to study the impact of the lockdown policy on voting behaviour, during the COVID-19 pandemic. We focus on France, where a differential lockdown was implemented across departments, based on the local diffusion of the disease. In particular, the country has been divided...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014095017
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Elections and (mis)reporting of COVID-19 mortality
Kpeli, Parrendah Adwoa; Schulze, Günther G.; Zakharov, … - 2024
onset of the Coronavirus pandemic in 2020 and the asymmetric electoral schedule of presidential elections around the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014520503
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Rational Voter Responses to the 2018 Trade War : Evidence From the 2018 U.S. House of Representatives Elections
Kong, Sang Hoon - 2019
I examine county-level outcomes of the 2018 U.S. House elections to investigate whether voters electorally responded to the economic impacts of the trade war tariffs in 2018. I find causal evidence that votes for the incumbent president's party (Republican) increased in counties that benefited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859371
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Labor unions and the electoral consequences of trade liberalization
Ogeda, Pedro Molina; Ornelas, Emanuel; Soares, Rodrigo Reis - 2021
We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698641
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Labor unions and the electoral consequences of trade liberalization
Ogeda, Pedro Molina; Ornelas, Emanuel; Soares, Rodrigo Reis - 2021
We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668994