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a natural experiment from the Czech Republic which biannually renews mandates in 1/3 of Senate constituencies rotating … according to the 1995 election law. We show that in the second and third weeks after the 2020 elections (held on October 9 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589175
The goal of this paper is to study the impact of the lockdown policy on voting behaviour, during the COVID-19 pandemic. We focus on France, where a differential lockdown was implemented across departments, based on the local diffusion of the disease. In particular, the country has been divided...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014095017
the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800554
the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745243
There has been a resurgence in right wing and populist politics in recent years. A common element is a focus on immigration, an increase in anti-immigrant rhetoric, and the vilification of minorities. This in turn has the potential to lead to increases in societal hostility towards immigrants....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245042
While still far from parity, female representation in politics has continuously increased over the last two decades worldwide. In light of this development, we analyze whether higher female representation has substantive effects on policy choices using the example of child care - a public good...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157910
Do voters place their trust in tried and tested leaders when uncertainty is high or do they prefer a new slate of leaders who are arguably more competent? To study this question, we make use of hand-collected data on 402,385 candidates who competed in open-list local council elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347142
beginning of their terms, but in line with the preferences of single-issue minorities as they approach re-election. To assess …'s predictions, election proximity has a pro-gun effect on Democratic senators and a pro-environment effect on Republican senators … size. Also in line with our theory, election proximity has no impact on senators' decisions on reproductive rights, because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918057
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391359
A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421123