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Disentangling Two Causes of Biased Probability Judgment – Cognitive Skills and Perception of Randomness

Duttle, Kai - 2016

This experimental study investigates the interaction of two influential factors of biased probability judgments. Results provide new insights on the preconditions for an application of either the gambler's fallacy or its exact opponent, the hot hand fallacy. The first factor is cognitive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002558

Probability matching and strategic decision making

Kim, Duk Gyoo; Kim, Hee Chun - In: Journal of behavioral and experimental economics 98 (2022), pp. 1-10

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013399584

Gambling habits and probability judgements in a Bayesian task environment

Dickinson, David L.; Reid, Parker - 2023

Little is known about how gamblers estimate probabilities from multiple information sources. This paper reports on a preregistered study that administered an incentivized Bayesian choice task to n=465 participants (self-reported gamblers and non-gamblers). Our data failed to support our main...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311967

Gambling habits and probability judgements in a Bayesian task environment

Dickinson, David L.; Reid, Parker - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014381107

Foreign language effect in accounting uncertainty expressions : Interpretation and probabilistic estimation

Zhang, Yuqian; De Zoysa, Anura; Cortese, Corinne - In: Journal of international accounting auditing & taxation 50 (2023), pp. 1-18

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014301965

Partition dependence and carryover biases in subjective probability assessment surveys for continuous variables : model-based estimation and correction

Prava, Venkata R.; Clemen, Robert Taylor; Hobbs, … - In: Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for … 13 (2016) 1, pp. 51-67

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482265

Does everyone use probabilities? : the role of cognitive skills

Binswanger, Johannes; Salm, Martin - In: European economic review : EER 98 (2017), pp. 73-85

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812038

Therole of experience in the gambler's fallacy

Barron, Greg; Leider, Stephen - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 23 (2010) 1, pp. 117-129

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003938004

Disentangling two causes of biased probability judgment : cognitive skills and perception of randomness

Duttle, Kai - 2015

This experimental study investigates the interaction of two influential factors of biased probability judgments. Results provide new insights on the preconditions for an application of either the gambler’s fallacy or its exact opponent, the hot hand fallacy. The first factor is cognitive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308534

The triple-store experiment : a first simultaneous test of classical and quantum probabilities in choice over menus

Rafaï, Ismaël; Duchêne, Sébastien; Guerci, Eric; … - In: Theory and decision : an international journal for … 92 (2022) 2, pp. 387-406

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818310

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