Option prices seem to behave in ways inconsistent with the Black-Scholes model. Implied volatility varies with the strike price in a parabolic shape that is often called the volatility 'smile.' My objective in this paper is to identify implied probability distributions that might explain this...

From the onset of the euro crisis to the Brexit vote, we have witnessed impressive reductions of current account imbalances in peripheral countries of the euro area. These reductions can be the result of either a compression of internal demand or an improvement in external competitiveness. In...

This paper analyzes by using a simple theoretical model and thereafter testing empirically the differences between Euro- and US-Dollar nominated sovereign bonds of euro-area countries during the euro-crisis and concludes that the probability of collapse of the Euro(-currency) has a significant...