Showing 1 - 10 of 6,030
decouple the two-country macro dynamics of country averages and country differences such that the cointegration analysis can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228354
combining (i) a VAR based cointegration analysis with (ii) a graph-theoretic search for instantaneous causal relations and (iii … correction model. We find that the long-run properties of the system are characterized by four cointegration relations and one … to monetary policy shocks. -- Exchange Rates ; Monetary Policy ; Cointegration ; Structural VAR ; Model Selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009410483
We show that empirical results concerning the behavior of floating exchange rates differ between otherwise identical cointegrated and non-cointegrated VAR models. In particular, virtually all ten-year movements in nominal exchange rates are due to fundamental supply and demand shocks when long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321604
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127247
We identify variables that help explain the persistent weakness of the Norwegian krone since 2016 within a fully simultaneous model of the underlying process driving the krone-euro exchange rate. In addition to a set of fundamental variables we consider non-traditional explanatory variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013257136
particular, it explores finite-sample problems in the application of cointegration tests and shows how these may have affected … of cointegration tests in particular applied settings and provides information on the potential sources of size … distortion in these tests. Three case studies are presented. The first is the literature on cointegration and prediction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073552
We propose a Lagrange Multiplier test of the null hypothesis of cointegration in fractionally cointegrated models. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071206
We propose a Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test of the null hypothesis of cointegration in fractionally cointegrated models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116819
Long-horizon regression tests are widely used in empirical finance, despite evidence of severe size distortions. This paper introduces a new bootstrap method for small-sample inference in long-horizon regressions. A Monte Carlo study shows that this bootstrap test has much smaller size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014072162
using cointegration approach, unobserved component model and structural vector autoregression (SVAR). The paper uses these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073319