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The exchange rate plays vital role in the financial market and its importance is increasing in the developing economies. Exchange rate volatility is an important factor to consider in decision making by the investors as the interest of global investment community is increasing in assets market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156666
In line with a growing literature on financial intermediary asset pricing, we find that changes in the leverage of primary dealers have predictive power in forecasting exchange rates. Unlike previous studies, we find that primary dealer heterogeneity matters for their role in asset pricing. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126161
We present evidence that the growth of U.S.-dollar-denominated banking sector liabilities forecasts appreciations of the U.S. dollar, both in-sample and out-of-sample, against a large set of foreign currencies. We provide a theoretical foundation for a funding liquidity channel in a global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399316
We present evidence that the funding liquidity aggregates of U.S. financial intermediaries forecast exchange rate growth—at weekly, monthly, and quarterly horizons, both in-sample and out-of-sample, and for a large set of currencies. We estimate prices of risk using a cross-sectional asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003812554
This paper studies the impact of credit rating agency (CRA) announcements on the value of the Euro and the yields of French, Italian, German and Spanish long-term sovereign bonds during the culmination of the Eurozone debt crisis in 2011-2012. The employed GARCH models show that CRA downgrade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206145
Building on the idea that precision of credit ratings matters for the efficiency of investors' portfolio decisions, the paper analyzes the equilibrium precision of ratings. Our analysis explains why ratings are noisy, exhibit rating inflation and vary across asset classes and over the economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857093
In this article, we have tested the volatility of the returns of the spot exchange rate of GBP/USD for changing conditional variances. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models, GARCH, threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models, (TGARCH), and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910727
In this article, we have tested the volatility of the returns of the spot exchange rate of AUD/USD for changing conditional variances by using a log likelihood model. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models, (GARCH) with t-distributed errors, and exponential generalized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910781
A rater is paid by a seller, observes a signal about the seller's product, and issues a public cheap-talk rating for potential buyers. I characterize the partition of the rater's information into ratings issued following public payments from the seller to the rater, and ratings issued when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938578
Since 2011, Morningstar has issued Morningstar Analyst Ratings on many of the largest mutual funds in the United States. In June 2017, Morningstar launched the Morningstar Quantitative Rating™ to provide a forward‐looking rating on all mutual funds. Morningstar uses a “robo‐rater”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836347