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This paper provides a global analysis of capital flow impacts on GDP for selected emerging economies. As additional control variables, we also include currency reserves and effective exchange rates in our analysis. We distinguish between gross and net capital flows and also assess the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776962
We examine the relationship between gold prices and the U.S. dollar exchange rate, arguing that their interactions are … SETAR(2,p) tests. Subsequently, we perform conditional least square estimations of log changes in gold prices as a function … consistently inverse, suggesting that gold and the U.S. dollar are risk-hedging substitutes for normal market periods. This also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015073524
reversion and assume that relative prices are unchanged. Direct forecasting or panel data techniques are better than the random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856403
Although the link between oil prices and dollar exchange rates has been frequently analyzed, a clear distinction between prices and nominal exchange rate dynamics and a clarification of the issue of causality has not been provided. In addition, previous studies have mostly neglected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771139
competing models. We show that the forecasting gains translate into economically and statistically significant (risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235
It is well known that US dollar gold prices are negatively related to the value of the US dollar and that gold prices … and what is its cause? This paper provides new evidence on the strength of the negative gold-currency association. For … example, a one percent increase in the US dollar leads to a one percent decrease in the US dollar gold price and this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964335
The aim of this study is to investigate the relationships between the stock exchange, gold, and foreign exchange … returns in Turkey. The monthly data of the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE), foreign exchange and gold prices for the period 1990 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963409
error correction model for testing the hypothesis of dynamic hedging characteristics of gold on exchange rate. As the … existing literature has never considered that the foreign exchange risk hedged by gold is dynamic, this study can fill the … research gap in this area. The empirical results show that: First, gold can partly hedge against the depreciation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668314
shown to be specific for commodity and market. A forecasting comparison on the basis of the identified models suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291928
in forecasting from using bivariate models remained small otherwise. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292735